Living log. Updated when the draft moves. Context: Part 5 method map, Part 6 five bets.

The bet

Not a method — a taxonomy. The question “when does injecting a behavioral prior (an analytic skill, a hand-controller, a structured latent) actually help RL?” has a clean 2-axis answer we’ve measured across Panda + DMControl:

  • Axis 1 — prior-fit. Does the prior match the task’s solution manifold?
  • Axis 2 — exploration-difficulty. Can on-policy sampling find the solution unaided?

The three regimes that fall out:

regime prior-fit exploration outcome
speed lever fits easy prior buys sample-efficiency (~1.6–7× faster to competence)
anchor (dead weight) mismatched easy vanilla wins; the prior only slows you down
escape fits hard only the prior survives — vanilla never escapes

The escape-difficulty frontier operationalizes axis 2: progressively weaken a task’s actuation until it crosses from “PPO solves it” to “only the prior-equipped agent survives.” That crossing is the figure.

Status board

item state
Draft (paper_speed_of_learning.tex, ~12pp, compiles) ✅ done
Anchor case (locomotion CPG — vanilla wins 5/5) ✅ verified
Speed-lever case (Reacher, OpenCabinet) ✅ verified
Escape frontier (actuation sweep) ✅ verified
F1–F5 hierarchy figures, related-work sweep, author block ⏳ finalize
Submit (workshop → conference) ⏳ pending

Progress log

2026-07-01 — status: drafted, honest, finishable now

The paper is written and compiles. It’s the safest of the five bets: a clean empirical/analysis contribution that doesn’t depend on any pending experiment. Reframed after the supervisor review to lead with learning speed as the axis abstraction actually buys (not ceiling), which is the honest through-line of the whole campaign. Remaining work is presentation, not science: finalize the F1–F5 figures, tighten related work, add the author block. No GPU required. This is the paper to land first.

Supporting results already in the ledger

  • Structured prior (analytic skill + learned residual) = sample-efficiency lever, not a ceiling lever, vs matched-budget PPO (Panda PickCube 0.716 < 0.810 final; OpenCabinet tie; ~1.6× / ~7× faster to competence).
  • Anchor case: locomotion CPG prior — vanilla TD-MPC2 wins 5/5 (mismatched prior = dead weight).
  • Escape case: on exploration-hard tasks (HopperHop, sparse swing-ups) the planning/prior agent is the only one that reaches competence at a practical budget.